diff --git a/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/BUILD.gn b/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/BUILD.gn
index cbfcf77..3948444 100644
--- a/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/BUILD.gn
+++ b/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/BUILD.gn
@@ -21,6 +21,8 @@
   sources = [
     "goog_cc_network_control.cc",
     "goog_cc_network_control.h",
+    "overuse_predictor.cc",
+    "overuse_predictor.h",
   ]
 
   deps = [
diff --git a/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/delay_based_bwe.cc b/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/delay_based_bwe.cc
index 35574db..0f60002 100644
--- a/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/delay_based_bwe.cc
+++ b/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/delay_based_bwe.cc
@@ -167,6 +167,12 @@
                           packet_feedback.arrival_time_ms, calculated_deltas);
 }
 
+DataRate DelayBasedBwe::TriggerOveruse(Timestamp at_time,
+                                       absl::optional<DataRate> link_capacity) {
+  RateControlInput input(BandwidthUsage::kBwOverusing, link_capacity);
+  return rate_control_.Update(&input, at_time);
+}
+
 DelayBasedBwe::Result DelayBasedBwe::MaybeUpdateEstimate(
     absl::optional<DataRate> acked_bitrate,
     absl::optional<DataRate> probe_bitrate,
diff --git a/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/delay_based_bwe.h b/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/delay_based_bwe.h
index 53b1242..4841dde 100644
--- a/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/delay_based_bwe.h
+++ b/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/delay_based_bwe.h
@@ -64,6 +64,9 @@
   TimeDelta GetExpectedBwePeriod() const;
   void SetAlrLimitedBackoffExperiment(bool enabled);
 
+  DataRate TriggerOveruse(Timestamp at_time,
+                          absl::optional<DataRate> link_capacity);
+
  private:
   friend class GoogCcStatePrinter;
   void IncomingPacketFeedback(const PacketFeedback& packet_feedback,
diff --git a/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/goog_cc_network_control.cc b/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/goog_cc_network_control.cc
index 549272d..540c01a 100644
--- a/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/goog_cc_network_control.cc
+++ b/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/goog_cc_network_control.cc
@@ -114,6 +114,7 @@
                                          network_state_predictor_.get())),
       acknowledged_bitrate_estimator_(
           absl::make_unique<AcknowledgedBitrateEstimator>(key_value_config_)),
+      overuse_predictor_(key_value_config_),
       initial_config_(config),
       last_raw_target_rate_(*config.constraints.starting_rate),
       last_pushback_target_rate_(last_raw_target_rate_),
@@ -260,9 +261,24 @@
                                                 TimeDelta::Zero());
   }
   bandwidth_estimation_->OnSentPacket(sent_packet);
+  bool network_changed = false;
+  if (network_estimator_ && overuse_predictor_.Enabled()) {
+    overuse_predictor_.OnSentPacket(sent_packet);
+    auto estimate = network_estimator_->GetCurrentEstimate();
+    if (estimate && overuse_predictor_.PredictOveruse(*estimate)) {
+      DataRate new_target = delay_based_bwe_->TriggerOveruse(
+          sent_packet.send_time, acknowledged_bitrate_estimator_->bitrate());
+      bandwidth_estimation_->UpdateDelayBasedEstimate(sent_packet.send_time,
+                                                      new_target);
+      network_changed = true;
+    }
+  }
   if (congestion_window_pushback_controller_) {
     congestion_window_pushback_controller_->UpdateOutstandingData(
         sent_packet.data_in_flight.bytes());
+    network_changed = true;
+  }
+  if (network_changed) {
     NetworkControlUpdate update;
     MaybeTriggerOnNetworkChanged(&update, sent_packet.send_time);
     return update;
diff --git a/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/goog_cc_network_control.h b/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/goog_cc_network_control.h
index de1ea4f..7411c1e 100644
--- a/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/goog_cc_network_control.h
+++ b/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/goog_cc_network_control.h
@@ -31,6 +31,7 @@
 #include "modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/alr_detector.h"
 #include "modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/congestion_window_pushback_controller.h"
 #include "modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/delay_based_bwe.h"
+#include "modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/overuse_predictor.h"
 #include "modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/probe_controller.h"
 #include "rtc_base/constructor_magic.h"
 #include "rtc_base/experiments/field_trial_parser.h"
@@ -96,6 +97,7 @@
   std::unique_ptr<NetworkStatePredictor> network_state_predictor_;
   std::unique_ptr<DelayBasedBwe> delay_based_bwe_;
   std::unique_ptr<AcknowledgedBitrateEstimator> acknowledged_bitrate_estimator_;
+  OverusePredictor overuse_predictor_;
 
   absl::optional<NetworkControllerConfig> initial_config_;
 
diff --git a/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/overuse_predictor.cc b/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/overuse_predictor.cc
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..a47c47a
--- /dev/null
+++ b/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/overuse_predictor.cc
@@ -0,0 +1,72 @@
+/*
+ *  Copyright 2019 The WebRTC project authors. All Rights Reserved.
+ *
+ *  Use of this source code is governed by a BSD-style license
+ *  that can be found in the LICENSE file in the root of the source
+ *  tree. An additional intellectual property rights grant can be found
+ *  in the file PATENTS.  All contributing project authors may
+ *  be found in the AUTHORS file in the root of the source tree.
+ */
+
+#include "modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/overuse_predictor.h"
+
+#include <algorithm>
+
+namespace webrtc {
+namespace {
+constexpr int kMaxPendingPackets = 100;
+
+DataRate GetAvailableCapacity(const NetworkStateEstimate& est,
+                              double deviation) {
+  double capacity_bps = est.link_capacity.bps();
+  double min_capacity_bps = est.link_capacity_min.bps();
+  double deviation_bps = est.link_capacity_std_dev.bps();
+  return DataRate::bps(
+      std::max(capacity_bps + deviation_bps * deviation, min_capacity_bps));
+}
+}  // namespace
+
+OverusePredictorConfig::OverusePredictorConfig(const std::string& config) {
+  ParseFieldTrial({&enabled, &capacity_dev_ratio_threshold, &capacity_deviation,
+                   &delay_threshold},
+                  config);
+}
+
+OverusePredictor::OverusePredictor(const WebRtcKeyValueConfig* config)
+    : conf_(config->Lookup("WebRTC-Bwe-OverusePredictor")) {}
+
+bool OverusePredictor::Enabled() const {
+  return conf_.enabled;
+}
+
+void OverusePredictor::OnSentPacket(SentPacket sent_packet) {
+  pending_.push_back(SentPacketInfo{sent_packet.send_time, sent_packet.size});
+  if (pending_.size() > kMaxPendingPackets)
+    pending_.pop_front();
+}
+
+bool OverusePredictor::PredictOveruse(const NetworkStateEstimate& est) {
+  while (!pending_.empty() && pending_.front().send_time < est.last_send_time) {
+    pending_.pop_front();
+  }
+  double deviation_ratio = est.link_capacity_std_dev / est.link_capacity;
+  if (deviation_ratio > conf_.capacity_dev_ratio_threshold)
+    return false;
+  TimeDelta buffer_delay = PredictDelay(est) - est.propagation_delay;
+  return buffer_delay > conf_.delay_threshold;
+}
+
+TimeDelta OverusePredictor::PredictDelay(const NetworkStateEstimate& est) {
+  auto safe_capacity = GetAvailableCapacity(est, conf_.capacity_deviation);
+  Timestamp last_send_time = est.last_send_time;
+  TimeDelta link_delay = est.pre_link_buffer_delay;
+  for (const auto& packet : pending_) {
+    auto delta = packet.send_time - last_send_time;
+    last_send_time = packet.send_time;
+    link_delay = std::max(link_delay - delta, est.propagation_delay);
+    link_delay += packet.size / safe_capacity;
+  }
+  return link_delay;
+}
+
+}  // namespace webrtc
diff --git a/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/overuse_predictor.h b/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/overuse_predictor.h
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..c4170db
--- /dev/null
+++ b/modules/congestion_controller/goog_cc/overuse_predictor.h
@@ -0,0 +1,49 @@
+/*
+ *  Copyright 2019 The WebRTC project authors. All Rights Reserved.
+ *
+ *  Use of this source code is governed by a BSD-style license
+ *  that can be found in the LICENSE file in the root of the source
+ *  tree. An additional intellectual property rights grant can be found
+ *  in the file PATENTS.  All contributing project authors may
+ *  be found in the AUTHORS file in the root of the source tree.
+ */
+#ifndef MODULES_CONGESTION_CONTROLLER_GOOG_CC_OVERUSE_PREDICTOR_H_
+#define MODULES_CONGESTION_CONTROLLER_GOOG_CC_OVERUSE_PREDICTOR_H_
+
+#include <deque>
+#include <string>
+
+#include "api/transport/network_types.h"
+#include "api/transport/webrtc_key_value_config.h"
+#include "rtc_base/experiments/field_trial_parser.h"
+#include "rtc_base/experiments/field_trial_units.h"
+
+namespace webrtc {
+
+struct OverusePredictorConfig {
+  FieldTrialFlag enabled{"Enabled"};
+  FieldTrialParameter<double> capacity_dev_ratio_threshold{"dev_thr", 0.2};
+  FieldTrialParameter<double> capacity_deviation{"cap_dev", -1};
+  FieldTrialParameter<TimeDelta> delay_threshold{"del_thr", TimeDelta::ms(100)};
+  explicit OverusePredictorConfig(const std::string& config);
+};
+
+class OverusePredictor {
+ public:
+  explicit OverusePredictor(const WebRtcKeyValueConfig* config);
+  void OnSentPacket(SentPacket sent_packet);
+  bool Enabled() const;
+  bool PredictOveruse(const NetworkStateEstimate& est);
+
+ private:
+  struct SentPacketInfo {
+    Timestamp send_time;
+    DataSize size;
+  };
+  TimeDelta PredictDelay(const NetworkStateEstimate& est);
+  const OverusePredictorConfig conf_;
+  std::deque<SentPacketInfo> pending_;
+};
+}  // namespace webrtc
+
+#endif  // MODULES_CONGESTION_CONTROLLER_GOOG_CC_OVERUSE_PREDICTOR_H_